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SMadvice
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Junior
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"Get Richer "

• Higher oil and gas prices are expected to lift inflation globally, with countries like China, South Korea, and India also facing stronger price pressure.

• The OECD says the longer the conflict lasts, the more it raises business costs, consumer prices, and downside risks for global growth.

• US growth is expected to slow to 2.0% this year and 1.7% in 2027, while global growth is forecast to ease from 3.3% last year to 2.9% in 2026.

• The OECD also highlights broader supply-chain risks in fertilisers, sulphur, helium, bromine, and semiconductor-related industrial inputs, not just oil.

• Iran may not have a strong short-term incentive to end the conflict quickly, especially if its demands now go beyond just de-escalation.

• Some reports suggest the regime wants sanctions or embargo pressure lifted after decades, and is also pushing for war reparations, which could make negotiations longer and messier.

• That means volatility could stay elevated for longer than many expect, even if markets try to price in a quick resolution.

For short-term traders, VIX exposure or hedges can make sense if using options during war-driven headlines.

For long-term investors, the bigger view may still be that markets eventually digest the shock, but near-term swings could stay brutal.

Short term: hedge the volatility. Long term: the market should be fine, but this war may take longer to resolve than people think.
SMadvice
Entrepreneur
Junior
36 posts
"Get Richer "
, modified by JerMoney on 2. Apr 2026

thanks
• 🌍 Earth Data: Planet Labs (PL): Planet Labs sells daily satellite imagery and geospatial data subscriptions to governments and enterprises — riding the space + AI + defense intelligence wave (~$11B market cap)

• ⚡ Semiconductors: FormFactor (FORM): FormFactor provides advanced testing and measurement systems for chips, critical for AI, memory, and high-performance computing (~$8B market cap)

• 🔋 Energy Grid: GE Vernova (GEV): GE Vernova focuses on power generation, grid solutions, and electrification — directly benefiting from AI-driven electricity demand (~$231B+ market cap)

• 🖥️ Data Centers: Vertiv (VRT): Vertiv builds cooling and power systems for data centers — a key backbone of AI infrastructure growth (~$94B market cap)

• 📡 Telecom (LatAm): Millicom (TIGO): Millicom provides mobile and broadband services across Latin America, monetizing rising data usage and digital infrastructure demand (~12B market cap)


📊 How to Invest: These are momentum stocks: some already have strong financials, others are earlier stage, but all sit in high-growth industries attracting capital (AI, energy, space).

👉 Momentum creates the move… discipline keeps the profit.

Short term:
• Use straddles around catalysts (earnings, announcements)
• Play both momentum and sell-off reversal
• Buy sharp moves, not directional moves, and manage risk

Long term:
• DCA into positions over time
• Focus on the trend (AI, energy, infrastructure), not just price
• Add on pullbacks, not spikes
SMadvice
Entrepreneur
Junior
36 posts
"Get Richer "
Hi everyone, happy Thursday!


For this trade, please limit yourself to 1 option contract only — especially if you’re still new or haven’t completed the onboarding process yet. Treat it as a learning experience first.

Before entering the trade, make sure to review the options deck so you fully understand how it works and how to size it properly. (The same logic also applies if you prefer trading the stock instead.)


Trade Setup:

Buy 1 Call to Open

Ticker: MSTR

Strike: $200 – $300

Maturity: July – August


Simple View:

This trade has the potential to deliver up to 30x if you manage to get in around $4.

I would not buy above $5 — it’s better to wait for a pullback.


Quick Math:

To achieve 30x, MSTR needs to move roughly $120 above the $250 strike by expiration (around August 21st), meaning the stock would need to reach approximately $370 (or higher).

For context, MSTR’s all-time high is currently $457.


The Thesis:

This trade is based on a potential market rally in Spring/Summer, combined with expected shifts from the Fed and aggressive rate cuts.

As always, remember:


The exposure matters more than the prediction.

The prediction is just the consequence of your exposure. In this case, you’re primarily exposed to a Spring/Summer rally + rate cuts.


Risk Management:

•  Short-term risks include geopolitical conflicts or other unexpected events.

•  Size small. If you want to add more than 1 contract, scale in slowly over 1–2 weeks.

•  If MSTR is trading below $254 in August, you will lose the entire premium paid.

SMadvice
Entrepreneur
Junior
36 posts
"Get Richer "

A disciplined, multi-month LEAPS strategy designed to capture asymmetric upside while keeping risk controlled through proper sizing, timing, and diversification.

Strategy Framework:

• Target 6–12 month LEAPS, ~20% out-of-the-money

• Position sizing per LEAPS:
Large portfolios: ~1%
Smaller portfolios: up to 5%

• Total LEAPS exposure:
Large portfolios: <5%
Smaller portfolios: up to 20%

• Stagger entries: add one LEAPS every 1–2 weeks

• Maintain ~5% cash or value-stock buffer for secondary entries

• Add only on deeper pullbacks (30–40% from recent highs)

• Trim ~50% at +100%, let the remainder run for long-term convexity

Like any serious trading approach: timing, sizing, and execution matter. Make sure to review the onboarding and option strategy framework before trading.

This is a diversified LEAPS basket spanning social platforms, utilities, crypto leverage, mega-cap tech, financial infrastructure, and fintech — built to capture upside while maintaining strict risk discipline.

🟢 RDDT — Early Monetization + AI Data Asset Upside
Communication Services | $26.6Bn
One of the most unique assets on the internet, owning a highly engaged, intent-driven user base that advertisers increasingly value. Monetization is still early, with strong upside from ads, premium features, and AI data licensing. The platform also acts as a key dataset for AI models, creating hidden strategic value. Trading near a major drawdown while revenues hit all-time highs, offering an attractive entry for long-term growth.

🟢 SO — Defensive Cash Flow + Energy Stability
Utilities | $109Bn
A large regulated utility providing stable and predictable revenue from essential energy services. EPS growth remains steady with strong cash flow generation, supported by infrastructure investments expanding its rate base. Its dividend profile continues attracting income-focused capital, while defensive positioning makes it resilient during volatility.

🟢 MSTR — Leveraged Crypto Exposure + Macro Catalyst
Technology | $44.6Bn
A high-beta proxy to crypto, where rising digital asset prices can drive explosive equity upside due to leverage. Upcoming Fed decisions and potential leadership changes could shift liquidity conditions. Combined with increasing political support for crypto adoption and stablecoins, this creates a powerful asymmetric setup tied to macro and digital asset cycles.

🟢 MSFT — Mega-Cap AI Leader at Technical Support
Technology | $3.04Tn
Historically limited drawdowns (~-30%), now trading ~-24% below highs near key support. As AI concerns fade and fundamentals remain strong, this offers a compelling long-term entry for investors who missed prior rallies. Combines defensive strength with continued AI-driven growth potential.

🟢 CME — Macro Volatility Cash Machine
Financial Services | $114Bn
A dominant global exchange benefiting directly from macro uncertainty. Rising volatility in rates, inflation, and geopolitics drives trading volumes across futures and options. With strong operating leverage, increased activity flows directly into profits, supporting continued momentum even at all-time highs.

🟢 SOFI — High-Growth Fintech + Crypto Tailwind
Financial Services | $24.1Bn
One of the fastest-growing fintech platforms (~220% YoY growth), expanding across banking, lending, and digital finance. Momentum is supported by policy tailwinds as crypto market structure legislation advances. Positioned to benefit from stablecoin adoption and digital payments growth, attracting strong investor attention.
SMadvice
Entrepreneur
Junior
36 posts
"Get Richer "
how to buy a stock
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