Hi everyone, happy Thursday!
For this trade, please limit yourself to 1 option contract only — especially if you’re still new or haven’t completed the onboarding process yet. Treat it as a learning experience first.
Before entering the trade, make sure to review the options deck so you fully understand how it works and how to size it properly. (The same logic also applies if you prefer trading the stock instead.)
Trade Setup:
Buy 1 Call to Open
Ticker: MSTR
Strike: $200 – $300
Maturity: July – August
Simple View:
This trade has the potential to deliver up to 30x if you manage to get in around $4.
I would not buy above $5 — it’s better to wait for a pullback.
Quick Math:
To achieve 30x, MSTR needs to move roughly $120 above the $250 strike by expiration (around August 21st), meaning the stock would need to reach approximately $370 (or higher).
For context, MSTR’s all-time high is currently $457.
The Thesis:
This trade is based on a potential market rally in Spring/Summer, combined with expected shifts from the Fed and aggressive rate cuts.
As always, remember:
The exposure matters more than the prediction.
The prediction is just the consequence of your exposure. In this case, you’re primarily exposed to a Spring/Summer rally + rate cuts.
Risk Management:
• Short-term risks include geopolitical conflicts or other unexpected events.
• Size small. If you want to add more than 1 contract, scale in slowly over 1–2 weeks.
• If MSTR is trading below $254 in August, you will lose the entire premium paid.